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September 20th NFL news ... Welcome to Bet on Football online, the home for football handicappers.
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Cam Newton: 'I'm hurt'
2014-11-13

The Philadelphia Eagles treated Newton the way a boot treats a doormat on Monday night, leading many observers to suggest he should be pulled halfway through the 45-21 beatdown that wasn't even that close. Head coach Ron Rivera insisted on Tuesday that Newton wasn't injured, but on Wednesday, Newton conceded that he is "hurt," which is a small but critical distinction.

"Injured" means, in effect, you're out; "hurt," you can tough it out. And clearly, that's what Newton intends to do.

"Hurt is hurt. If youre asking me, am I hurt right now? Yeah, Im hurt. I havent, you know, felt 100 percent in a long time, Newton told reporters. You ask me a question, 'Is Cam Newton hurt?'

Yes, Im hurt. And thats all honesty. But can I play? Yes, I can play and I will be playing. Its mind over matter."

Newton and the Panthers play the Atlanta Falcons this weekend in what is virtually an elimination game in the NFC South. Those two teams, along with New Orleans, still have a shot at winning this misbegotten division, making this weekend's game critical.

You wouldn't think that Newton would need to be at 100 percent or, heck, even 30 percent to beat the woeful Falcons, but if Carolina is to have any chance of returning to the playoffs, it needs Newton in far better condition than he is right now.


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (4-1) at SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (2-3)
2013-10-14

The Colts look to improve to 5-1 while the host Chargers try to get back to .500 when these teams play on Monday night.

I Apuestas NFL ndianapolis has won three straight games, with its most recent one being a comeback home victory last week over the Seahawks, 34-28. San Diego really struggled in Week 5, turning the ball over five times in a 27-17 loss to the Raiders. The last time these two teams played was in 2010 where the Chargers rolled to a 36-14 road victory, making them 12-4 ATS versus Indianapolis since 1992 and 6-1 ATS (5-2 SU) in their past seven meetings with the Colts. San Diego is 2-0 ATS so far this season at home, and since 1992, the team is an outstanding 21-3 ATS against AFC South opponents. However, Indy is 15-3 ATS in road games after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games over that same period. Indianapolis is also 11-3 ATS after the first month of the season over the past two years. Chargers RB Ryan Mathews is doubtful for the game after suffering a concussion against the Raiders, while Colts S LaRon Landry (ankle) is also questionable for the game Monday.

The Colts started last week against the Seahawks in a 12-0 hole and were down five going into the fourth quarter, but still came away with a 34-28 victory behind 229 passing yards and two touchdowns from QB Andrew Luck. He has thrown for 1,144 yards with seven touchdowns and just two interceptions so far this season. WR T.Y. Hilton led the team in receiving with 140 yards and two long touchdowns last week, scoring from 73 yards out and 29 yards out. RB Trent Richardson rushed for 56 yards (3.1 YPC) while Donald Brown was more effective with 37 yards and a touchdown on six carries (6.2 YPC) against Seattle. Despite Richardsons lack of eye-popping numbers since his trade from Cleveland (151 yards, 3.0 YPC in three games), the Colts are still the NFLs fourth best rushing team with 142 yards per game and rank fifth in the league with 4.7 yards per carry. They will, however, miss Ahmad Bradshaw (186 rush yards, 4.5 YPC, 2 TD) who was recently placed on injured reserve with a neck injury. Indy's offense was expected to thrive, but its defense has been quite the story this season, allowing just 15.8 PPG (5th in NFL) and 201 passing YPG (6th in league). The secondary will need to keep this up against the high-powered passing attack of Philip Rivers and the Chargers. Although the Colts have done a nice job stopping the pass, they are one of the league's worst against the run, allowing 129 rushing YPG (3rd-worst in NFL) and 4.8 YPC (6th-worst in league). Fortunately for their run defense, the Colts are playing against a San Diego team that averages just 91.2 rushing YPG (21st in NFL) and will likely be missing its top rusher, Ryan Mathews. The Colts have done a great job forcing turnovers this season with 10 takeaways, and they have also put great pressure on opposing quarterbacks with 15 sacks, including a league-best 9.5 sacks by LB Robert Mathis.

Chargers QB Philip Rivers entered last week with just 2 INT in four games, but wound up throwing three picks in the loss in Oakland. Rivers did, however, throw for two touchdowns and 411 yards, marking the third time in four games that he has eclipsed 400 passing yards. San Diego is averaging 311.2 YPG through the air (5th in NFL) and it will need to remain efficient in that category against a good Colts secondary. The Chargers' ground game was horrible last week, gaining just 32 yards on 19 rushing attempts, and if Mathews can't go, they will turn to Danny Woodhead (3.8 YPC) and Ronnie Brown (3.1 YPC) to carry the load. Star TE Antonio Gates is going to play a big role on Monday as he leads the team with 32 receptions and 438 yards while adding two touchdowns this season. Rookie WR Keenan Allen has also emerged as the Chargers top receiver in recent weeks as he now has 11 receptions for 195 yards and a touchdown over the past two games. San Diego is going to have to be much better defensively as it is surrendering a league-worst 6.5 yards per play and 288.8 YPG through the air (6th-worst in NFL). Andrew Luck will pick them apart if they dont do some adjusting. The Chargers have also struggled to stop the run, allowing 4.9 YPC (5th-worst in NFL) and 117.2 YPG on the ground (24th in NFL). That number is likely not going to get better with LB Dwight Freeney on injured reserve and LB Jarret Johnson questionable with a hamstring injury.



March Madness Bracket
2015-02-15

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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (5-8) at SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (7-6)
2010-12-16

Sportsbook.com Line & Total: San Diego -9.5 & 44.5

Two California teams clinging to playoff hopes meet in a m Botas Moto ust-win situation for both teams on Thursday night. San Francisco is 5-8 and trails division leaders St. Louis and Seattle by one game. San Diego’s win over Kansas City last week put the 7-6 Chargers a game behind the Chiefs in the AFC West standings. Both teams have major injury problems. In addition to RB Frank Gore on IR (hip), the 49ers’ top two linebackers, Patrick Willis and Takeo Spikes, are both suffering hand injuries and are both listed as questionable.

San Diego has a slew of offensive injuries. WR Patrick Crayton (wrist) is out, TE Antonio Gates (feet) is doubtful and WR Malcom Floyd (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game. The good news is that WRs Vincent Jackson (calf) and Legedu Naanee (hamstring) will both play against San Francisco.

The 49ers are playing much better football recently, winning five of eight games after starting the season 0-5. Alex Smith will start at quarterback again for San Francisco after completing 17-of-27 passes for 255 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s 40-21 win over Seattle. Smith, who missed the previous five games with a shoulder injury, is tasked with moving the football against the No. 1 pass defense in the NFL. San Diego is only allowing 173 passing YPG with only one game of surrendering 300 passing yards.

Despite Gore’s injury, San Francisco has rushed the ball well in its past three games with 453 yards on 4.7 yards per carry. Brian Westbrook has 190 rushing yards in the three games and also caught six passes for 87 yards and a touchdown against Seattle last week. Rookie RB Anthony Dixon has also thrived in his increased role, gaining 147 yards on 37 carries (4.0 YPC) since Gore got hurt. TE Vernon Davis is now healthy and a much bigger factor in the offense with Alex Smith throwing him the football. Davis has nine catches for 196 yards and two touchdowns in his past two games.

The Chargers are also hot, winning five of their past six games (SU and ATS). After rushing for just 21 yards in a loss to Oakland, San Diego ripped off 207 rushing yards in the win over Kansas City, while holding the NFL’s top rushing offense to 48 yards on 17 carries. Mike Tolbert (16 rush, 66 yds, TD) and Ryan Mathews (16 rush, 65 yds, TD) had nearly identical numbers against KC, while Darren Sproles ran for 53 yards on just six carries. San Diego could have more success this week if Willis and Spikes are sidelined for San Francisco.


75% of action at Sportsbook.com is behind the home team Chargers against the spread.

The running game will be key if Gates and Floyd, the team’s top two receivers, are limited on Thursday. The duo has combined for 1,442 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns this year. Despite all the injuries in the passing game this season, San Diego still ranks second in the league in passing offense. QB Philip Rivers has thrown for 298 YPG with 26 TD and 11 INT and should have success against the 49ers’ 20th-ranked pass defense giving up 227 YPG. The Chargers have only won the turnover battle three times all season and have a minus-7 turnover ratio for the year.

Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN DIEGO) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season. (24-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.7%, +19.6 units.)

Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SAN DIEGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the second half of the season. (25-6 since 1983.) (80.6%, +18.4 units.)

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NFL Home Dogs barked loudly in Week 1
2010-09-14

For football bettors that see value in underdogs playing at home, NFL Week 1 was most likely a profitable one. Home ‘dogs ended up video poker covering five of their eight games. Even more impressive, all five covers also resulted in straight up victories. Houston, Kansas City, Pittsburgh, Seattle and Washington all prevailed while getting points at home.

The opening point spreads at Sportsbook.com for week two provide just three such opportunities: Detroit (+4) hosting Philadelphia, Washington (+3) entertaining Houston, and San Francisco (+5) welcoming New Orleans.

Home favorites went 5-2-1 ATS, 7-1 SU. The NY Jets were the only home team to lose SU. Chicago, a straight up winner but ATS loser, and Tampa Bay, who won SU but pushed, were the other two home favorites who failed to cover.

Last year’s bottom feeders ATS made positive impressions in week one. Detroit, worst in the NFL at 4-10-2 ATS in 2009, covered the number against Chicago and many believe they should have won the game outright based on the controversial incompletion call at the end of their heartbreaking loss to the Bears. Jacksonville, 5-11 ATS last year including 0-4 in their last four games, was an impressive ATS and SU winner over Denver, who was a respectable 9-7 ATS a season ago. Pittsburgh, 5-10-1 ATS last year when they failed to earn the opportunity to defend their Super Bowl title in the playoffs, knocked off Atlanta as a home underdog in week one. Seattle, tied for fourth worst last year ATS, may be gaining some believers under first-year head coach Pete Carroll after their resounding upset win over the well-regarded San Francisco 49ers. Last year in the college ranks, Carroll and USC were an uncharacteristic 4-9 ATS after three consecutive winning seasons ATS (8-5, 7-6, 7-6).

It was not the best of weekends for the six teams that represented the AFC in last year’s playoffs. New England and Baltimore both beat the spread and won their games, but Cincinnati, the Jets, Indianapolis and San Diego all lost both ATS and outright. Granted, the Bengals and Jets lost to fellow playoff teams in the Patriots and Ravens, respectively, but the two squads that were not facing a playoff participant from a year ago, the Colts and Chargers, failed to deliver as favorites.

NFC playoff teams from a year ago performed slightly better, going 3-3 both ATS and SU. Green Bay and New Orleans won ATS and outright over 2009 postseason alums Philly and Minnesota, respectively. While Arizona got the job done both ATS and SU against last year’s cellar dwelling St. Louis Rams, Dallas could not take care of its business on the road against rival Washington.

Divisionally speaking, no division went a perfect 4-for-4 ATS. The AFC South was the only division to go 3-1 ATS (also 3-1 SU), with the only loss coming in the intra-divisional matchup between Houston and Indianapolis. On the flip side, no division went 0-for-4 ATS, but the AFC West went 1-3 both ATS and SU, with the only win occurring in the intra-divisional clash between Kansas City and San Diego.

Whether you see value in home dogs or love to back favorites playing at home, head over to Sportsbook.com now to make your Week 2 NFL picks.


NFL: Top 3 AFC Teams Preview
2010-05-24

The AFC will feature a great deal of powerhouses this season.  From Indy and Pittsburgh to New England, the division showcases teams that have ruled the last decade.  I only have room for three on this list, however.  Here is how I see things shaking up; all you NFL betting folks pay attention:



  1. The New England Patriots:  The team that has won more Super Bowls than anyone one in the past decade comes in at number one on my list.  The Pats have a healthy Tom Brady, an older but still effective receiving core, and a few key draft picks to bolster the Achilles’ heel of last season the defense.  With all that said, the Pats are not getting any younger.  I believe, however, the Hoodie will steer this ship one more time to an AFC Championship, and so do most of the NFL betting crowd.

  2. The Indianapolis Colts:  The favorite in the minds of most people in the sporting world, the Colts come in at number two on my list.  Yes, they still have Peyton Manning and the rest of the crowd, but they have only made it to the top of the mountain once with this crew.  All the stars aligned last year for the Colts to slide into the Super Bowl.  They were able to dodge both of their biggest pains in the rear in San Diego and New England.  Chances are that will not happen this year, and we will see the Colts bounced from the playoffs.

  3. The Baltimore Ravens:  Matt Ryan might have gotten all the hype coming out of the draft a couple of years ago, but Joe Flacco has all the playoff wins.  Yes, the defense is growing more than a little long in the tooth, but I believe they still have enough gas left in the tank to get the job done.  And with the acquisition of Anquan Boldin, Joe Flacco has to be grinning from ear to ear these days.  Look for Baltimore to one of the biggest bullies in the AFC.


This is how I believe things will shake up in the AFC.  With injuries and the general craziness of the NFL, though, all of these teams could be turned upside down before the opening kickoff of the preseason.  We will just have to wait and see how an always strong AFC plays out this year. Who are you betting on in the AFC this season? When it comes to NFL betting there is no site better than www.sportsbook.com where everybody bets.